Oh, it's not 50% for the whole thing, it's roughly 50% for each round (except for the 1st one, which is high 90s). Each round is a copy of the 2nd round's script which is a 33% chance to either hit, match, or miss. The underlying gameplay mechanic of it is still quite poor (it doesn't matter, for instance, if you press the same button for the entire thing) but I wanted to at least fix the script and have it be feasible to win it. I guess it's like getting Heads on a coin toss 4 times in a row, about 6.25% (just over 1 in 20).
Thanks for the clarification. I appreciate that it wasn't left as original with a <1% chance, and respect the balancing, even if I personally still hate the randomness. (If I wanted 50% odds, I'd flip a coin, not play a random mini-game within a game that takes ~2 minutes per attempt, and in which I have to flip four heads in a row. I know I'd be in a minority opinion, but I would have favored increasing both the cost and odds of winning, so the expected value of GP is the same).
Sorry to be nitpicky, but in your Features Overview document, could you adjust the wording from "50% chance of winning
all rounds" to "50% chance of winning
each round"? That's why I had gotten confused.
Thank you again for the great mod. I know these posts highlight bugs, and I just wanted to remind you that overall it's been a great and smooth game. I've only personally found one issue, and and I'm up to the Temple of the Ancients.